Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 20:00 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.16 (league 1.82) 0.54 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.5% 8.9% 3.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
12.3%
4 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Roma W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea W 0 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelsea WRoma W
Played45
Form67%27%
Attack100%50%
Defense80%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 35 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.512 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea W Roma W
HATHAT
Played224538
Wins50%50%50%40%33%38%
Draws50%50%50%0%33%13%
Loses0%0%0%60%33%50%

Form: Chelsea W: DWWD • Roma W: WWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Chelsea W Roma W
HATHAT
GF total57128513
GF avg2.53.53.01.61.71.6
GA total1128715
GA avg0.50.50.51.62.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelsea WRoma W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%75%75%
1.550%0%50%38%
2.550%0%13%25%
3.550%0%13%25%
4.525%0%13%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelsea WRoma W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricChelsea WRoma W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricChelsea WRoma W
Wins22
Draws10
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-65-10-2
Biggest losses——0-46-2
Goals For4652
Goals Against1146

Model comparison

MetricChelsea WRoma W
Form67%33%
Att71%29%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total77.5%22.5%

Advice: Winner : Chelsea W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.09 @ Betano
Draw13.89 @ Pinnacle
Away29.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.91 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea W = 3.16 (league 1.82), Roma W = 0.54 (league 1.57)

Roma W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea W 0 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.5% · Draw 8.9% · Away win 3.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1