Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 20:00 • Centro Deportivo Wanda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.82) 1.65 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 20.4% 28.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern Munich W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid W 0 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.7% 7.7% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.8% 6.2% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.1% 3.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico Madrid WBayern Munich W
Played54
Form60%75%
Attack100%90%
Defense60%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid W Bayern Munich W
HATHAT
Played336224
Wins33%67%50%100%50%75%
Draws0%33%17%0%0%0%
Loses67%0%33%0%50%25%

Form: Atletico Madrid W: DWWLLW • Bayern Munich W: LWWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid W Bayern Munich W
HATHAT
GF total31114549
GF avg1.03.72.32.52.02.3
GA total4153811
GA avg1.30.30.81.54.02.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico Madrid WBayern Munich W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%100%100%
1.550%17%75%50%
2.533%0%50%25%
3.533%0%0%25%
4.517%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico Madrid WBayern Munich W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAtletico Madrid WBayern Munich W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAtletico Madrid WBayern Munich W
Wins20
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-63-21-3
Biggest losses1-2——7-1
Goals For2633
Goals Against2127

Model comparison

MetricAtletico Madrid WBayern Munich W
Form50%50%
Att59%41%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Madrid W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.14 @ Pinnacle
Away1.90 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid W = 2.20 (league 1.82), Bayern Munich W = 1.65 (league 1.57)

Bayern Munich W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid W 0 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.7% 7.7% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.8% 6.2% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.1% 3.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 28.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1