AFC Cup — World
Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 12:15 • Workers' Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.63) 0.78 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.6% 17.3% 11.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beijing Guoan 0 4.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 7.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBeijing GuoanMacarthur
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack43%43%
Defense52%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Beijing Guoan Macarthur
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%100%0%60%
Draws50%33%40%0%50%20%
Loses0%67%40%0%50%20%

Form: Beijing Guoan: DLDWL • Macarthur: LWDWW

League goals

Metric Beijing Guoan Macarthur
HATHAT
GF total549729
GF avg2.51.31.82.31.01.8
GA total2810235
GA avg1.02.72.00.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBeijing GuoanMacarthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%80%
1.560%80%60%20%
2.540%40%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBeijing GuoanMacarthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricBeijing GuoanMacarthur
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBeijing GuoanMacarthur
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—3-0—
Biggest losses—3-0—2-1
Goals For3331
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricBeijing GuoanMacarthur
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Macarthur

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ 10Bet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.96 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Beijing Guoan = 2.30 (league 1.63), Macarthur = 0.78 (league 1.28)

Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beijing Guoan 0 4.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 7.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.6% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 11.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1