Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 17:45 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.64) 1.30 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.4% 17.4% 17.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
3 - 1
7.7%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Dynamo Kyiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 2.0% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaDynamo Kyiv
Played54
Form60%25%
Attack90%60%
Defense50%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Dynamo Kyiv
HATHAT
Played336224
Wins67%67%67%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%33%33%50%100%75%

Form: Fiorentina: WWWWLL • Dynamo Kyiv: LLWL

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Dynamo Kyiv
HATHAT
GF total5712606
GF avg1.72.32.03.00.01.5
GA total325257
GA avg1.00.70.81.02.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaDynamo Kyiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%25%75%
1.567%33%25%75%
2.550%0%25%25%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaDynamo Kyiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaDynamo Kyiv
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaDynamo Kyiv
Wins41
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-36-0—
Biggest losses0-12-10-23-0
Goals For3360
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaDynamo Kyiv
Form75%25%
Att60%40%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total69.6%30.4%

Advice: Double chance : Fiorentina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ 1xBet
Draw5.02 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.29 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 2.59 (league 1.64), Dynamo Kyiv = 1.30 (league 1.16)

Dynamo Kyiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 2.0% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 17.1%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1