Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 19:30 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.27) 0.58 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.1% 17.0% 8.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.9%
1 - 0
13.5%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gzira United 0 6.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 7.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack85%23%
Defense54%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gzira United Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
Played39125712
Wins100%11%33%0%14%8%
Draws0%44%33%20%29%25%
Loses0%44%33%80%57%67%

Form: Gzira United: LDDLDLLWWDWW • Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDLLD

League goals

Metric Gzira United Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
GF total69154711
GF avg2.01.01.30.81.00.9
GA total2161891019
GA avg0.71.81.51.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%75%58%92%
1.533%42%17%42%
2.525%17%8%25%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score055235

Penalties

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
Wins21
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-4—0-4
Biggest losses—5-31-33-0
Goals For3424
Goals Against1533

Model comparison

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
Form87%13%
Att79%21%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total72.0%28.0%

Advice: Winner : Gzira United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ William Hill
Away5.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gzira United = 2.21 (league 1.27), Naxxar Lions = 0.58 (league 1.20)

Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gzira United 0 6.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 7.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 8.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1