Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 20:00 • St. Jakob-Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.60) 0.63 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 25.1% 14.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
13.7%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Basel 1893 0 11.2% 7.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 10.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Basel 1893Aston Villa
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack39%44%
Defense61%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Basel 1893 Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%0%40%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%60%0%50%20%

Form: FC Basel 1893: LWLWL • Aston Villa: WWLWW

League goals

Metric FC Basel 1893 Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total527538
GF avg2.50.71.41.71.51.6
GA total167123
GA avg0.52.01.40.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Basel 1893Aston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%40%
1.540%60%60%20%
2.520%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Basel 1893Aston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricFC Basel 1893Aston Villa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFC Basel 1893Aston Villa
Wins12
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-00-2
Biggest losses—2-0—2-1
Goals For3122
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricFC Basel 1893Aston Villa
Form33%67%
Att47%53%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.97 @ 1xBet
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away1.72 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.48 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Basel 1893 = 1.57 (league 1.60), Aston Villa = 0.63 (league 1.20)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Basel 1893 0 11.2% 7.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 10.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 14.7%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1