3. Division
— Cyprus
Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 12:30 •
Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.41)
0.18 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.9% | 28.6% | 5.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.5%
0 - 0
22.9%
2 - 0
19.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ethnikos Assias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ermis | 0 | 22.9% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.5% | 5.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ermis | Ethnikos Assias |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 65% | 35% |
| Defense | 76% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ermis | Ethnikos Assias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 67% | 40% | 55% | 83% | 20% | 55% |
| Draws | 33% | 60% | 45% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
Form: Ermis: DDWWWDWDWWD • Ethnikos Assias: WDWLWWLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ermis | Ethnikos Assias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ermis | Ethnikos Assias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 45% | 82% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 18% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 18% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ermis | Ethnikos Assias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ermis | Ethnikos Assias |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ermis | Ethnikos Assias |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ermis | Ethnikos Assias |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 70.5% | 29.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Ermis or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ermis = 1.29 (league 1.41), Ethnikos Assias = 0.18 (league 1.08)
| Ethnikos Assias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ermis | 0 | 22.9% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.5% | 5.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 5.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1