Liga Alef — Israel
Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.44) 0.79 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.3% 19.6% 13.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Marmorek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shimshon Tel Aviv 0 5.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShimshon Tel AvivHapoel Marmorek
Played55
Form67%0%
Attack36%14%
Defense79%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.617 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shimshon Tel Aviv Hapoel Marmorek
HATHAT
Played37106410
Wins33%43%40%17%25%20%
Draws33%14%20%0%0%0%
Loses33%43%40%83%75%80%

Form: Shimshon Tel Aviv: LLLWDDLWWW • Hapoel Marmorek: LLWLWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Shimshon Tel Aviv Hapoel Marmorek
HATHAT
GF total4812527
GF avg1.31.11.20.80.50.7
GA total671314923
GA avg2.01.01.32.32.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShimshon Tel AvivHapoel Marmorek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%50%80%
1.530%40%20%70%
2.520%20%0%50%
3.510%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShimshon Tel AvivHapoel Marmorek
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricShimshon Tel AvivHapoel Marmorek
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricShimshon Tel AvivHapoel Marmorek
Wins11
Draws20
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-41-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-00-35-0
Goals For3422
Goals Against3245

Model comparison

MetricShimshon Tel AvivHapoel Marmorek
Form100%0%
Att71%29%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total71.8%28.2%

Advice: Double chance : Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away5.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 1xBet
No1.76 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shimshon Tel Aviv = 2.07 (league 1.44), Hapoel Marmorek = 0.79 (league 1.27)

Hapoel Marmorek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shimshon Tel Aviv 0 5.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 13.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1