Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 15:00 •
The Creek
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.73)
1.21 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 20.1% | 20.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Willand Rovers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol Manor Farm | 0 | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Willand Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 7% |
| Attack | 41% | 24% |
| Defense | 53% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Willand Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 35% | 22% | 10% | 16% |
| Draws | 20% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 30% | 26% |
| Loses | 30% | 70% | 50% | 56% | 60% | 58% |
Form: Bristol Manor Farm: WLDLWLLLLDWDLWLLWWLW • Willand Rovers: LDLDLLWLWDLWDLDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Willand Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 26 | 40 | 13 | 27 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bristol Manor Farm | Willand Rovers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 80% | 63% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% | 68% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 50% | 5% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Willand Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Willand Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Willand Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 3-5 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 8-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Willand Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 73.8% | 26.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Bristol Manor Farm or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bristol Manor Farm = 2.19 (league 1.73), Willand Rovers = 1.21 (league 1.27)
| Willand Rovers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol Manor Farm | 0 | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 20.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1