Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 17:00 •
Stade Joseph Moynat
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.62)
2.26 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.7% | 19.6% | 57.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.5%
0 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Troyes II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thonon Évian | 0 | 3.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Troyes II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 42% | 42% |
| Defense | 32% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Troyes II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 44% | 60% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 44% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Thonon Évian: DWWWLWLLL • Troyes II: WWWWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Troyes II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Thonon Évian | Troyes II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 56% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 44% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 38% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Troyes II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Troyes II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Troyes II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-2 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Troyes II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Troyes II
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Thonon Évian = 1.23 (league 1.62), Troyes II = 2.26 (league 1.32)
| Troyes II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thonon Évian | 0 | 3.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 57.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1