1. Lig — Turkey
Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 17:00 • Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu
Second Half
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.63) 1.67 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 19.3% 25.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hatayspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sakaryaspor 0 1.7% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.1% 6.9% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.4% 3.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSakaryasporHatayspor
Played55
Form13%7%
Attack56%25%
Defense13%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sakaryaspor Hatayspor
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins43%22%31%0%0%0%
Draws29%33%31%25%38%31%
Loses29%44%38%75%63%69%

Form: Sakaryaspor: DWLLDWLDWWWLLDDL • Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Sakaryaspor Hatayspor
HATHAT
GF total10182851015
GF avg1.42.01.80.61.30.9
GA total112031202242
GA avg1.62.21.92.52.82.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSakaryasporHatayspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%81%69%100%
1.544%50%19%75%
2.519%44%6%56%
3.56%19%0%25%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSakaryasporHatayspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score101415

Penalties

MetricSakaryasporHatayspor
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricSakaryasporHatayspor
Wins30
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-6——
Biggest losses1-44-11-45-0
Goals For3623
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricSakaryasporHatayspor
Form67%33%
Att69%31%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%88%
Total51.0%49.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sakaryaspor or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ 10Bet
Draw5.69 @ Pinnacle
Away8.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.08 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sakaryaspor = 2.40 (league 1.63), Hatayspor = 1.67 (league 1.25)

Hatayspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sakaryaspor 0 1.7% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.1% 6.9% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.4% 3.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 25.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3