Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio SkyFi Castalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.45) 1.77 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 21.9% 36.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 2.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.0% 8.9% 7.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.8% 4.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellónMirandes
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack80%33%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellón Mirandes
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%44%47%25%22%24%
Draws25%22%24%13%33%24%
Loses25%33%29%63%44%53%

Form: Castellón: LLDLDWWWDLLWDWWWW • Mirandes: LLWWLDLDDLLLWLLWD

League goals

Metric Castellón Mirandes
HATHAT
GF total15122751217
GF avg1.91.31.60.61.31.0
GA total12921131326
GA avg1.51.01.21.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellónMirandes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%59%82%
1.541%24%29%35%
2.535%18%6%24%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellónMirandes
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score235437

Penalties

MetricCastellónMirandes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCastellónMirandes
Wins32
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-11-4
Biggest losses0-13-11-52-0
Goals For5324
Goals Against4353

Model comparison

MetricCastellónMirandes
Form65%35%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h9%91%
Goals33%67%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : Castellón or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ 1xBet
Draw5.43 @ Pinnacle
Away9.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellón = 1.83 (league 1.45), Mirandes = 1.77 (league 1.10)

Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 2.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.0% 8.9% 7.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.8% 4.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 36.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1