Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Ezio Scida
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.54) 1.46 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 20.5% 25.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 2.6% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 5.7% 8.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrotoneCasarano
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%88%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crotone Casarano
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins44%38%41%44%38%41%
Draws11%25%18%33%13%24%
Loses44%38%41%22%50%35%

Form: Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWL • Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLLLLWWLD

League goals

Metric Crotone Casarano
HATHAT
GF total111223121628
GF avg1.21.51.41.32.01.6
GA total791682230
GA avg0.81.10.90.92.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrotoneCasarano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%88%65%
1.541%29%47%47%
2.529%6%29%35%
3.56%0%0%18%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrotoneCasarano
HATHAT
Clean sheets437516
Failed to score347202

Penalties

MetricCrotoneCasarano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCrotoneCasarano
Wins23
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-01-36-2
Goals For3433
Goals Against2336

Model comparison

MetricCrotoneCasarano
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.8%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Crotone or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away6.47 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crotone = 2.18 (league 1.54), Casarano = 1.46 (league 1.10)

Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 2.6% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 5.7% 8.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 25.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1