Ligue 2 — France
Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 19:45 • Stade de la Libération
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.42) 1.79 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.9% 22.9% 59.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Estac Troyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boulogne 0 7.3% 13.1% 11.7% 7.0% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.1% 10.8% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoulogneEstac Troyes
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack62%62%
Defense23%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Boulogne Estac Troyes
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins25%25%25%78%29%56%
Draws13%38%25%11%57%31%
Loses63%38%50%11%14%13%

Form: Boulogne: LLLLWLWLWDLLDDWD • Estac Troyes: WDWLWWWWDWDWDLWD

League goals

Metric Boulogne Estac Troyes
HATHAT
GF total1071721728
GF avg1.30.91.12.31.01.8
GA total177249615
GA avg2.10.91.51.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoulogneEstac Troyes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%88%81%63%
1.525%31%50%25%
2.513%13%31%6%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoulogneEstac Troyes
HATHAT
Clean sheets112336
Failed to score235033

Penalties

MetricBoulogneEstac Troyes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBoulogneEstac Troyes
Wins14
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-35-21-3
Biggest losses2-61-02-32-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against6132

Model comparison

MetricBoulogneEstac Troyes
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total49.0%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Boulogne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away2.05 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betano
Under 2.51.68 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.82 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Boulogne = 0.83 (league 1.42), Estac Troyes = 1.79 (league 1.18)

Estac Troyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boulogne 0 7.3% 13.1% 11.7% 7.0% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.1% 10.8% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.9% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 59.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1