Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 12:30 •
Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.58)
0.53 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0% | 20.3% | 9.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Unión Sur Yaiza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 88% | 50% |
| Defense | 63% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 83% | 14% | 46% | 43% | 33% | 38% |
| Draws | 17% | 57% | 38% | 14% | 33% | 23% |
| Loses | 0% | 29% | 15% | 43% | 33% | 38% |
Form: Mensajero: WLLWDWDWDWWDD • Unión Sur Yaiza: WWLWDLWDWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 7 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 46% | 54% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 23% | 31% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 15% | 23% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Mensajero or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mensajero = 1.89 (league 1.58), Unión Sur Yaiza = 0.53 (league 0.95)
| Unión Sur Yaiza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 9.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1