Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Wankdorf
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.45 (league 1.88) 1.06 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 17.5% 14.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
9.0%
1 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSC Young Boys 0 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Luzern
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack100%100%
Defense22%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BSC Young Boys FC Luzern
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins57%33%44%13%38%25%
Draws29%33%31%50%25%38%
Loses14%33%25%38%38%38%

Form: BSC Young Boys: WDLDWWWLLWDDWWDL • FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLWLDLL

League goals

Metric BSC Young Boys FC Luzern
HATHAT
GF total161834171330
GF avg2.32.02.12.11.61.9
GA total62329151631
GA avg0.92.61.81.92.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBSC Young BoysFC Luzern
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%81%94%88%
1.556%50%56%75%
2.550%25%19%25%
3.525%19%6%6%
4.56%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Luzern
HATHAT
Clean sheets303112
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Luzern
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Luzern
Wins31
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-46-02-3
Biggest losses1-25-01-34-1
Goals For5463
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Luzern
Form67%33%
Att52%48%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h71%29%
Goals44%56%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : BSC Young Boys or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Unibet
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away4.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Pinnacle
No2.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): BSC Young Boys = 2.45 (league 1.88), FC Luzern = 1.06 (league 1.36)

FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSC Young Boys 0 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 14.6%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1