Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Johan Cruijff Arena
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.72) 1.91 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 21.9% 59.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.2%
0 - 2
10.7%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Feyenoord
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 5.9% 11.2% 10.7% 6.8% 3.2% 1.2%
1 5.4% 10.4% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.5% 4.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAjaxFeyenoord
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack50%88%
Defense63%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ajax Feyenoord
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins63%29%47%75%71%73%
Draws13%57%33%0%14%7%
Loses25%14%20%25%14%20%

Form: Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWDLLWW • Feyenoord: WWWWWDWWWLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Ajax Feyenoord
HATHAT
GF total131528212041
GF avg1.62.11.92.62.92.7
GA total7132011718
GA avg0.91.91.31.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAjaxFeyenoord
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%80%100%60%
1.567%47%80%33%
2.527%7%40%20%
3.50%0%20%7%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAjaxFeyenoord
HATHAT
Clean sheets303336
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAjaxFeyenoord
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAjaxFeyenoord
Wins15
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-36-10-7
Biggest losses0-22-12-42-1
Goals For3367
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricAjaxFeyenoord
Form44%56%
Att36%64%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h60%40%
Goals33%67%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Feyenoord

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away2.21 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Pinnacle
No2.83 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ajax = 0.93 (league 1.72), Feyenoord = 1.91 (league 1.37)

Feyenoord
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 5.9% 11.2% 10.7% 6.8% 3.2% 1.2%
1 5.4% 10.4% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.5% 4.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 59.0%

Vtot 20 , Vtod1