Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.22) 1.69 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 23.9% 57.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
0 - 2
11.6%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 8.1% 13.7% 11.6% 6.6% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.2% 9.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.7% 4.6% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontederaSambenedettese
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack30%20%
Defense30%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontedera Sambenedettese
HATHAT
Played89178816
Wins38%11%24%25%25%25%
Draws13%22%18%25%38%31%
Loses50%67%59%50%38%44%

Form: Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLL • Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDDDL

League goals

Metric Pontedera Sambenedettese
HATHAT
GF total85137815
GF avg1.00.60.80.91.00.9
GA total1416308816
GA avg1.81.81.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontederaSambenedettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%88%63%81%
1.524%53%19%19%
2.50%18%6%0%
3.50%12%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontederaSambenedettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score448426

Penalties

MetricPontederaSambenedettese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPontederaSambenedettese
Wins13
Draws13
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-20-2
Biggest losses0-45-01-22-1
Goals For2142
Goals Against4522

Model comparison

MetricPontederaSambenedettese
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sambenedettese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.14 @ Pinnacle
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pontedera = 0.82 (league 1.22), Sambenedettese = 1.69 (league 1.06)

Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 8.1% 13.7% 11.6% 6.6% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.2% 9.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.7% 4.6% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 57.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1