Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Azersun Arena
Match Finished
5 - 1
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.25) 0.42 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.0% 26.2% 10.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 15.3% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 9.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQarabagAraz
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%73%
Defense73%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qarabag Araz
HATHAT
Played85137714
Wins63%80%69%57%29%43%
Draws25%20%23%29%43%36%
Loses13%0%8%14%29%21%

Form: Qarabag: LWDWWWWDWWWWD • Araz: DWWWLDWDDLWDLW

League goals

Metric Qarabag Araz
HATHAT
GF total101424111122
GF avg1.32.81.81.61.61.6
GA total246101020
GA avg0.30.80.51.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQarabagAraz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%38%93%79%
1.562%8%64%36%
2.515%0%0%14%
3.515%0%0%7%
4.58%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQarabagAraz
HATHAT
Clean sheets628213
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricQarabagAraz
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricQarabagAraz
Wins43
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-52-00-2
Biggest losses0-1—0-53-2
Goals For2522
Goals Against1253

Model comparison

MetricQarabagAraz
Form65%35%
Att58%42%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h80%20%
Goals87%13%
Total73.7%26.3%

Advice: Double chance : Qarabag or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.60 @ Betfair
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 1.46 (league 1.25), Araz = 0.42 (league 1.14)

Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 15.3% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 9.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 10.5%

vtt 4 , vtd1