Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.24) 1.01 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 27.3% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.7%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cairese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenzana 0 9.3% 9.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.8% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.7% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenzanaCairese
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack22%22%
Defense0%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valenzana Cairese
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%25%33%0%43%20%
Draws14%38%27%50%0%27%
Loses43%38%40%50%57%53%

Form: Valenzana: WLDDLDWWWDLLLWL • Cairese: LDDLDWLLLWLLLWD

League goals

Metric Valenzana Cairese
HATHAT
GF total95145510
GF avg1.30.60.90.60.70.7
GA total1192011920
GA avg1.61.11.31.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenzanaCairese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%87%60%80%
1.520%40%7%40%
2.50%7%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenzanaCairese
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricValenzanaCairese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricValenzanaCairese
Wins31
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1—1-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-33-0
Goals For2112
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricValenzanaCairese
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cairese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.96 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valenzana = 1.36 (league 1.24), Cairese = 1.01 (league 1.11)

Cairese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valenzana 0 9.3% 9.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.8% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.7% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1