Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Nino Ciccione
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.24) 3.25 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 14.7% 57.3%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.0%
1 - 2
6.4%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Derthona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imperia 0 0.7% 2.4% 3.8% 4.1% 3.4% 2.2%
1 1.2% 3.9% 6.4% 7.0% 5.7% 3.7%
2 1.0% 3.3% 5.4% 5.8% 4.7% 3.1%
3 0.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.7%
4 0.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricImperiaDerthona
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack67%100%
Defense89%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Imperia Derthona
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%13%71%40%
Draws14%13%13%25%0%13%
Loses43%50%47%63%29%47%

Form: Imperia: LLDLLDLWWLLWWWW • Derthona: WLLLWDLDWLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Imperia Derthona
HATHAT
GF total1161781321
GF avg1.60.81.11.01.91.4
GA total1382113922
GA avg1.91.01.41.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineImperiaDerthona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%80%80%
1.520%47%40%53%
2.513%20%20%13%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricImperiaDerthona
HATHAT
Clean sheets246123
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricImperiaDerthona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricImperiaDerthona
Wins23
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-00-2
Biggest losses0-53-11-33-1
Goals For3133
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricImperiaDerthona
Form57%43%
Att40%60%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h25%75%
Goals43%57%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Derthona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ 1xBet
Draw3.16 @ Marathonbet
Away2.87 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.92 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Superbet
No2.15 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Imperia = 1.68 (league 1.24), Derthona = 3.25 (league 1.11)

Derthona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imperia 0 0.7% 2.4% 3.8% 4.1% 3.4% 2.2%
1 1.2% 3.9% 6.4% 7.0% 5.7% 3.7%
2 1.0% 3.3% 5.4% 5.8% 4.7% 3.1%
3 0.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.7%
4 0.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 57.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1