Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Vittorio Papa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.43) 1.82 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.9% 22.7% 44.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Paganese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nola 1925 0 3.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.4% 9.9% 8.9% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.4% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.1% 3.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNola 1925Paganese
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack64%27%
Defense55%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nola 1925 Paganese
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%38%47%63%57%60%
Draws29%25%27%25%14%20%
Loses14%38%27%13%29%20%

Form: Nola 1925: WDDLWLLWDWWDWWL • Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Nola 1925 Paganese
HATHAT
GF total178257815
GF avg2.41.01.70.91.11.0
GA total111021369
GA avg1.61.31.40.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNola 1925Paganese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%73%53%
1.547%40%20%7%
2.527%27%7%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNola 1925Paganese
HATHAT
Clean sheets224527
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricNola 1925Paganese
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricNola 1925Paganese
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-11-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-12-0
Goals For4223
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricNola 1925Paganese
Form50%50%
Att70%30%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Nola 1925 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away2.48 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nola 1925 = 1.51 (league 1.43), Paganese = 1.82 (league 0.97)

Paganese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nola 1925 0 3.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.4% 9.9% 8.9% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.4% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.1% 3.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 44.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1