Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:30 • Europa-Park-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.59) 1.47 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 25.0% 39.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
8.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 5.7% 8.5% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.9% 11.7% 8.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.1% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack60%60%
Defense40%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins50%14%31%67%57%62%
Draws33%29%31%33%29%31%
Loses17%57%38%0%14%8%

Form: SC Freiburg: LLWWDDDLDWLWL • Borussia Dortmund: DWWWWDLWWDDWW

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
GF total13720111223
GF avg2.21.01.51.81.71.8
GA total814224711
GA avg1.32.01.70.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%69%100%46%
1.546%46%54%23%
2.523%23%23%15%
3.58%15%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Clean sheets134437
Failed to score033000

Penalties

MetricSC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund
Wins24
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-36-2—2-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricSC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund
Form39%61%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.86 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg = 1.38 (league 1.59), Borussia Dortmund = 1.47 (league 1.50)

Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 5.7% 8.5% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.9% 11.7% 8.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.1% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 39.1%

Vtot 26 , Vtod2