QSL Cup — Qatar
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.69) 1.97 (league 1.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 19.5% 31.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
UMM Salal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusail City 0 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.1% 6.1% 6.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
2 3.7% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.9% 5.7% 5.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.7% 3.4% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
5 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusail CityUMM Salal
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack29%76%
Defense35%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

93%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusail City UMM Salal
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins33%0%13%50%75%63%
Draws33%40%38%25%0%13%
Loses33%60%50%25%25%25%

Form: Lusail City: LWLDLLDD • UMM Salal: WDWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Lusail City UMM Salal
HATHAT
GF total661291120
GF avg2.01.21.52.32.82.5
GA total418226814
GA avg1.33.62.81.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusail CityUMM Salal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%88%
1.525%50%75%25%
2.513%38%50%25%
3.513%38%13%13%
4.50%38%13%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusail CityUMM Salal
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLusail CityUMM Salal
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLusail CityUMM Salal
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-10-5
Biggest losses1-26-12-36-1
Goals For4235
Goals Against2636

Model comparison

MetricLusail CityUMM Salal
Form25%75%
Att28%72%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or UMM Salal and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Superbet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusail City = 2.37 (league 1.69), UMM Salal = 1.97 (league 1.85)

UMM Salal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusail City 0 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.1% 6.1% 6.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
2 3.7% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.9% 5.7% 5.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.7% 3.4% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
5 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 31.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1