Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo Gandarada
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.10)
1.64 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | 23.7% | 63.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Vitória de Sernache | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mortágua | 0 | 11.2% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mortágua | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 64% | 27% |
| Defense | 64% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mortágua | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 50% | 36% | 67% | 80% | 73% |
| Draws | 60% | 33% | 45% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Loses | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 0% | 9% |
Form: Mortágua: DDWWLLDWDDW • Vitória de Sernache: WWWWWWDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Mortágua | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mortágua | Vitória de Sernache | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 55% | 73% | 27% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 27% | 55% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mortágua | Vitória de Sernache | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mortágua | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mortágua | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mortágua | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vitória de Sernache and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mortágua = 0.54 (league 1.10), Vitória de Sernache = 1.64 (league 1.09)
| Vitória de Sernache | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mortágua | 0 | 11.2% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 63.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1