La Liga — Spain
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.45) 1.20 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 29.0% 40.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 11.2% 13.4% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.3% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.6% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta VigoAthletic Club
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack54%31%
Defense54%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta Vigo Athletic Club
HATHAT
Played87159716
Wins0%57%27%56%29%44%
Draws63%29%47%11%14%13%
Loses38%14%27%33%57%44%

Form: Celta Vigo: LDDDDDLDDWWLWLW • Athletic Club: WWWLLDLWDLLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Celta Vigo Athletic Club
HATHAT
GF total711189615
GF avg0.91.61.21.00.90.9
GA total1271991120
GA avg1.51.01.31.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta VigoAthletic Club
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%87%56%69%
1.527%27%31%31%
2.57%7%6%19%
3.50%7%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta VigoAthletic Club
HATHAT
Clean sheets022325
Failed to score202347

Penalties

MetricCelta VigoAthletic Club
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCelta VigoAthletic Club
Wins23
Draws51
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-20-2
Biggest losses2-42-10-34-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against4234

Model comparison

MetricCelta VigoAthletic Club
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Athletic Club

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.21 @ 1xBet
Away2.81 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.96 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celta Vigo = 0.99 (league 1.45), Athletic Club = 1.20 (league 1.13)

Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 11.2% 13.4% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.3% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.6% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 40.6%

Vtot 30 , Vtod1