Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:30 •
MFA Centenary Stadium
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.58)
1.15 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.6% | 24.3% | 26.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Marsa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birzebbuga | 0 | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 39% |
| Defense | 67% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 75% | 75% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
Form: Birzebbuga: WLLWWWWW • Marsa: LWLDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Birzebbuga | Marsa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 38% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-2 | 0-3 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 72% | 28% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Birzebbuga or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Birzebbuga = 1.67 (league 1.58), Marsa = 1.15 (league 1.69)
| Marsa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birzebbuga | 0 | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 26.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1