Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.41) 0.88 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 28.8% 25.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético Astorga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 11.7% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.0% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarrianaAtlético Astorga
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack29%35%
Defense71%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarriana Atlético Astorga
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins50%25%36%14%29%21%
Draws33%13%21%43%29%36%
Loses17%63%43%43%43%43%

Form: Sarriana: LWLWWLLLWDDLDW • Atlético Astorga: LLLWLLDLWDDDDW

League goals

Metric Sarriana Atlético Astorga
HATHAT
GF total118197613
GF avg1.81.01.41.00.90.9
GA total6131912719
GA avg1.01.61.41.71.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarrianaAtlético Astorga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%57%86%
1.543%43%21%29%
2.57%14%14%14%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarrianaAtlético Astorga
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score033246

Penalties

MetricSarrianaAtlético Astorga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSarrianaAtlético Astorga
Wins21
Draws24
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-23-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-00-42-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricSarrianaAtlético Astorga
Form46%54%
Att45%55%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.5%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sarriana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Betano
Draw2.90 @ Superbet
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarriana = 1.27 (league 1.41), Atlético Astorga = 0.88 (league 1.03)

Atlético Astorga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 11.7% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.0% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 25.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1