Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.19) 0.68 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 42.1% 34.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.6%
0 - 1
20.8%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Águilas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 30.6% 20.8% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.5% 10.5% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLorca DeportivaÁguilas
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack46%69%
Defense69%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lorca Deportiva Águilas
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%43%50%71%43%57%
Draws29%14%21%14%43%29%
Loses14%43%29%14%14%14%

Form: Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWWWWWWL • Águilas: WDDLWWDWLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Lorca Deportiva Águilas
HATHAT
GF total7101711819
GF avg1.01.41.21.61.11.4
GA total4913549
GA avg0.61.30.90.70.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLorca DeportivaÁguilas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%57%79%57%
1.529%29%43%7%
2.514%7%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLorca DeportivaÁguilas
HATHAT
Clean sheets426336
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricLorca DeportivaÁguilas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLorca DeportivaÁguilas
Wins73
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-11-3
Biggest losses1-23-11-21-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricLorca DeportivaÁguilas
Form48%52%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h25%75%
Goals22%78%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Águilas and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Superbet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.83 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lorca Deportiva = 0.50 (league 1.19), Águilas = 0.68 (league 0.97)

Águilas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 30.6% 20.8% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.5% 10.5% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 42.1% · Away win 34.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1