Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:00 •
Miniestadio Cerro del Espino
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.48)
1.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 24.7% | 35.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Las Rozas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| A Madrid III | 0 | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | A Madrid III | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 57% |
| Defense | 57% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | A Madrid III | Las Rozas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 57% | 62% | 86% | 67% | 77% |
| Draws | 17% | 14% | 15% | 0% | 33% | 15% |
| Loses | 17% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 0% | 8% |
Form: A Madrid III: WWWWLLWDDWWWL • Las Rozas: WWLWWDWWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | A Madrid III | Las Rozas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 21 | 34 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | A Madrid III | Las Rozas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 85% | 100% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 77% | 31% | 69% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 15% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | A Madrid III | Las Rozas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | A Madrid III | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | A Madrid III | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-8 | 9-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 8 | 9 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | A Madrid III | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : A Madrid III or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): A Madrid III = 1.48 (league 1.48), Las Rozas = 1.42 (league 1.20)
| Las Rozas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| A Madrid III | 0 | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 35.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1