Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.36)
0.35 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.2% | 17.7% | 5.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
19.1%
3 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Tomares | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 75% | 25% |
| Defense | 33% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 29% | 46% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
| Draws | 33% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 0% | 43% | 23% | 57% | 67% | 62% |
Form: Ceuta II: LDDWWDDWLWWWL • Tomares: DLDLLDWLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 13 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ceuta II | Tomares | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 69% | 38% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 38% | 15% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 23% | 8% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 74.2% | 25.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Ceuta II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ceuta II = 1.98 (league 1.36), Tomares = 0.35 (league 1.01)
| Tomares | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.2% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 5.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1