Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio Municipal Miguel Moranto
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.35)
0.82 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 31.1% | 26.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Huétor Tájar | 0 | 14.6% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 18% | 29% |
| Defense | 76% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 33% | 14% | 23% | 43% | 33% | 38% |
| Draws | 50% | 14% | 31% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 17% | 71% | 46% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
Form: Huétor Tájar: LLDLLWWDLWLDD • Marbelli: WWDLLDLWWDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Huétor Tájar | Marbelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 85% | 85% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 31% | 15% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 50.4% | 49.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Huétor Tájar or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Huétor Tájar = 1.11 (league 1.35), Marbelli = 0.82 (league 0.98)
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Huétor Tájar | 0 | 14.6% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 26.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1