Tue, Dec 16 2025 • 13:00 • Bombo Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 0

NEC

Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.42) 1.12 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 30.8% 41.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.7%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 14.1% 15.7% 8.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.3% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUPDFNEC
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack43%36%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UPDF NEC
HATHAT
Played46104610
Wins25%33%30%25%17%20%
Draws0%17%10%75%33%50%
Loses75%50%60%0%50%30%

Form: UPDF: LWLLLWLLWD • NEC: DDLWDLWDDL

League goals

Metric UPDF NEC
HATHAT
GF total47115510
GF avg1.01.21.11.30.81.0
GA total511164711
GA avg1.31.81.61.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUPDFNEC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%90%80%
1.530%50%10%30%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUPDFNEC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricUPDFNEC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricUPDFNEC
Wins11
Draws02
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-00-1
Biggest losses1-25-1—2-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricUPDFNEC
Form58%42%
Att55%45%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NEC

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.88 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UPDF = 0.84 (league 1.42), NEC = 1.12 (league 0.93)

NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 14.1% 15.7% 8.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.3% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 41.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1