Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 13:00 • Moi International Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 0.99) 1.10 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 31.2% 42.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Homeboyz
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 14.8% 16.3% 9.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.3% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGOR MahiaHomeboyz
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack56%67%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GOR Mahia Homeboyz
HATHAT
Played65118412
Wins33%80%55%38%50%42%
Draws17%20%18%50%25%42%
Loses50%0%27%13%25%17%

Form: GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWLLD • Homeboyz: DWLWWWDDLWDD

League goals

Metric GOR Mahia Homeboyz
HATHAT
GF total681413316
GF avg1.01.61.31.60.81.3
GA total7189312
GA avg1.20.20.71.10.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGOR MahiaHomeboyz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%75%75%
1.536%9%42%25%
2.59%9%17%0%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGOR MahiaHomeboyz
HATHAT
Clean sheets246123
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricGOR MahiaHomeboyz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGOR MahiaHomeboyz
Wins43
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses1-4—0-22-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against4122

Model comparison

MetricGOR MahiaHomeboyz
Form54%46%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.72 @ Betano
Away4.00 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.95 @ Superbet
No1.44 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.85 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GOR Mahia = 0.81 (league 0.99), Homeboyz = 1.10 (league 0.87)

Homeboyz
0 1 2 3 4 5
GOR Mahia 0 14.8% 16.3% 9.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.3% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 42.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1