Tue, Dec 16 2025 • 13:00 • Ulinzi Sports Complex
Match Finished

KCB

4 - 2
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 0.99) 0.92 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 37.8% 48.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.7%
0 - 1
25.5%
0 - 2
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
APS Bomet
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCB 0 27.7% 25.5% 11.7% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.1% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKCBAPS Bomet
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack83%83%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KCB APS Bomet
HATHAT
Played48127512
Wins25%50%42%14%40%25%
Draws25%25%25%29%40%33%
Loses50%25%33%57%20%42%

Form: KCB: WLWLLLDDWDWW • APS Bomet: LLLWLDDLWDWD

League goals

Metric KCB APS Bomet
HATHAT
GF total110113811
GF avg0.31.30.90.41.60.9
GA total2797613
GA avg0.50.90.81.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKCBAPS Bomet
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%58%50%67%
1.517%17%25%25%
2.50%0%8%8%
3.50%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKCBAPS Bomet
HATHAT
Clean sheets235224
Failed to score303426

Penalties

MetricKCBAPS Bomet
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKCBAPS Bomet
Wins11
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-01-4
Biggest losses0-12-10-24-2
Goals For1214
Goals Against1224

Model comparison

MetricKCBAPS Bomet
Form58%42%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or APS Bomet and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 1xBet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): KCB = 0.36 (league 0.99), APS Bomet = 0.92 (league 0.87)

APS Bomet
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCB 0 27.7% 25.5% 11.7% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.1% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 37.8% · Away win 48.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1