Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 20:00 • De Grolsch Veste
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.82) 1.30 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 22.7% 26.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente W 0 4.3% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.9% 10.3% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTwente WReal Madrid W
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack17%67%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Twente W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
Played549437
Wins60%25%44%75%67%71%
Draws20%25%22%25%0%14%
Loses20%50%33%0%33%14%

Form: Twente W: WWWWDLDLL • Real Madrid W: WWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Twente W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total1361912517
GF avg2.61.52.13.01.72.4
GA total6410347
GA avg1.21.01.10.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTwente WReal Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%100%71%
1.544%22%71%29%
2.533%11%29%0%
3.533%11%14%0%
4.511%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTwente WReal Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricTwente WReal Madrid W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTwente WReal Madrid W
Wins44
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-46-21-2
Biggest losses0-42-1—2-1
Goals For6462
Goals Against4222

Model comparison

MetricTwente WReal Madrid W
Form17%83%
Att20%80%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.47 @ Pinnacle
Away1.39 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Twente W = 1.86 (league 1.82), Real Madrid W = 1.30 (league 1.57)

Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente W 0 4.3% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.9% 10.3% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 26.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1