Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 20:00 • Groupama Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.82) 1.18 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 31.4% 52.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.1%
0 - 0
18.8%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon W 0 18.8% 22.1% 13.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.3% 10.9% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyon WAtletico Madrid W
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack78%72%
Defense72%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played235437
Wins100%67%80%25%67%43%
Draws0%33%20%25%33%29%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%29%

Form: Lyon W: WWWDW • Atletico Madrid W: DWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Lyon W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total681451116
GF avg3.02.72.81.33.72.3
GA total145617
GA avg0.51.31.01.50.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyon WAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%86%71%
1.5100%20%57%29%
2.580%20%29%0%
3.50%0%29%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyon WAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricLyon WAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLyon WAtletico Madrid W
Wins32
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-10-6
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For3326
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricLyon WAtletico Madrid W
Form65%35%
Att52%48%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lyon W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.18 @ Betano
Draw7.59 @ Pinnacle
Away14.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lyon W = 0.49 (league 1.82), Atletico Madrid W = 1.18 (league 1.57)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon W 0 18.8% 22.1% 13.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.3% 10.9% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 52.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1