Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 01:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 2.18) 0.54 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.2% 19.9% 9.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
15.7%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verdes 0 8.4% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.3% 8.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.7% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVerdesProgresso
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack80%100%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Verdes Progresso
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins86%50%67%75%43%60%
Draws14%38%27%13%29%20%
Loses0%13%7%13%29%20%

Form: Verdes: WDDWWWWWWDLWWWD • Progresso: DDWWLLLWWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Verdes Progresso
HATHAT
GF total211132231437
GF avg3.01.42.12.92.02.5
GA total34761016
GA avg0.40.50.50.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVerdesProgresso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%87%60%
1.547%7%67%27%
2.540%0%33%13%
3.520%0%27%7%
4.513%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVerdesProgresso
HATHAT
Clean sheets459426
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricVerdesProgresso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVerdesProgresso
Wins67
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-58-10-4
Biggest losses—2-02-34-1
Goals For7584
Goals Against1234

Model comparison

MetricVerdesProgresso
Form43%57%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Verdes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Verdes = 1.93 (league 2.18), Progresso = 0.54 (league 1.47)

Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verdes 0 8.4% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.3% 8.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.7% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.2% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1