Liga Leumit — Israel
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 13:00 • Green Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.39) 1.09 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 28.1% 32.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ironi Modi'in
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 9.8% 10.7% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.1% 13.2% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitIroni Modi'in
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack41%29%
Defense53%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Ironi Modi'in
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins14%0%7%57%25%40%
Draws43%50%47%14%13%13%
Loses43%50%47%29%63%47%

Form: Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLLDLDDDDLWLDD • Ironi Modi'in: WWLWLDLLLWLWWLD

League goals

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Ironi Modi'in
HATHAT
GF total6915131023
GF avg0.91.11.01.91.31.5
GA total7162391524
GA avg1.02.01.51.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Nazareth IllitIroni Modi'in
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%87%80%
1.520%47%47%60%
2.50%13%20%20%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitIroni Modi'in
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score213022

Penalties

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitIroni Modi'in
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitIroni Modi'in
Wins12
Draws41
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-12-3
Biggest losses1-24-11-23-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitIroni Modi'in
Form42%58%
Att58%42%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total45.4%54.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ironi Modi'in

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ 10Bet
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away2.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.02 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 1.23 (league 1.39), Ironi Modi'in = 1.09 (league 1.19)

Ironi Modi'in
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 9.8% 10.7% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.1% 13.2% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 32.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1