Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 13:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.12) 0.93 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 33.4% 36.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.4%
0 - 1
16.3%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bugesera
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 17.4% 16.3% 7.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.2% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS KigaliBugesera
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack45%45%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Kigali Bugesera
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins17%17%17%43%0%23%
Draws50%17%33%14%50%31%
Loses33%67%50%43%50%46%

Form: AS Kigali: LLDWLLDWDLLD • Bugesera: WDDDLLDLWLLLW

League goals

Metric AS Kigali Bugesera
HATHAT
GF total4486410
GF avg0.70.70.70.90.70.8
GA total77146814
GA avg1.21.21.20.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS KigaliBugesera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%67%62%62%
1.58%42%15%31%
2.50%8%0%15%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS KigaliBugesera
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricAS KigaliBugesera
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAS KigaliBugesera
Wins11
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-1—
Biggest losses0-32-02-33-1
Goals For1221
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricAS KigaliBugesera
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total56.5%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : AS Kigali or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw2.87 @ Betano
Away3.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.60 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.41 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Kigali = 0.81 (league 1.12), Bugesera = 0.93 (league 0.90)

Bugesera
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 17.4% 16.3% 7.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.2% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1