Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 11:00 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 0.99) 1.29 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.5% 27.8% 41.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kariobangi Sharks
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 9.5% 12.3% 7.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.4% 6.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSofapakaKariobangi Sharks
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack17%33%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sofapaka Kariobangi Sharks
HATHAT
Played77147613
Wins14%29%21%14%17%15%
Draws29%14%21%43%33%38%
Loses57%57%57%43%50%46%

Form: Sofapaka: DLLWDWLWLLDLLL • Kariobangi Sharks: DDLWLLDLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Sofapaka Kariobangi Sharks
HATHAT
GF total5611358
GF avg0.70.90.80.40.80.6
GA total107175914
GA avg1.41.01.20.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSofapakaKariobangi Sharks
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%79%46%62%
1.529%36%15%31%
2.57%7%0%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSofapakaKariobangi Sharks
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score448437

Penalties

MetricSofapakaKariobangi Sharks
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSofapakaKariobangi Sharks
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-31-01-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-24-2
Goals For2312
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricSofapakaKariobangi Sharks
Form17%83%
Att33%67%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals50%50%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kariobangi Sharks and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Superbet
Draw2.90 @ 1xBet
Away3.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.61 @ 1xBet
No1.53 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sofapaka = 1.06 (league 0.99), Kariobangi Sharks = 1.29 (league 0.87)

Kariobangi Sharks
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sofapaka 0 9.5% 12.3% 7.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.4% 6.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 41.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod3