League One — England
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 19:45 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.44) 1.03 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 27.6% 28.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 9.5% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.0% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.6% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonAFC Wimbledon
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack40%20%
Defense65%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins40%33%37%44%40%42%
Draws20%11%16%22%10%16%
Loses40%56%47%33%50%42%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDL • AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWDWLLLDLD

League goals

Metric Northampton AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
GF total10818101323
GF avg1.00.90.91.11.31.2
GA total9112071926
GA avg0.91.21.10.81.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonAFC Wimbledon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%63%79%
1.526%32%53%26%
2.55%11%5%21%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonAFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Clean sheets437314
Failed to score347347

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonAFC Wimbledon
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonAFC Wimbledon
Wins34
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-11-25-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonAFC Wimbledon
Form78%22%
Att67%33%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Northampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 1.32 (league 1.44), AFC Wimbledon = 1.03 (league 1.14)

AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 9.5% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.0% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.6% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 28.9%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1