Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:15 • Stadion Galgenwaard
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.72) 1.97 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.5% 21.6% 56.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 4.6% 9.2% 9.0% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.5% 5.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUtrechtPSV Eindhoven
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack70%100%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Utrecht PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%13%38%75%100%88%
Draws25%38%31%13%0%6%
Loses13%50%31%13%0%6%

Form: Utrecht: WLWWLLDLWLWWDDDD • PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWDWWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Utrecht PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total171027262450
GF avg2.11.31.73.33.03.1
GA total7142113720
GA avg0.91.81.31.60.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUtrechtPSV Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%81%94%69%
1.550%31%88%44%
2.519%13%56%13%
3.513%6%44%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUtrechtPSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets213145
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricUtrechtPSV Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUtrechtPSV Eindhoven
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-26-11-5
Biggest losses0-14-10-2—
Goals For4265
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricUtrechtPSV Eindhoven
Form32%68%
Att32%68%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h25%75%
Goals37%63%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or PSV Eindhoven

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ 10Bet
Draw4.25 @ Unibet
Away1.75 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Utrecht = 1.10 (league 1.72), PSV Eindhoven = 1.97 (league 1.37)

PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 4.6% 9.2% 9.0% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.5% 5.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 56.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1