Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.28) 0.98 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.6% 29.8% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Este
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 12.2% 12.0% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.4% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuparenseEste
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack67%78%
Defense22%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luparense Este
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins29%22%25%56%14%38%
Draws57%22%38%33%57%44%
Loses14%56%38%11%29%19%

Form: Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLLWWDDL • Este: WDWDDDDWWDDWLWLL

League goals

Metric Luparense Este
HATHAT
GF total861414822
GF avg1.10.70.91.61.11.4
GA total716238917
GA avg1.01.81.40.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuparenseEste
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%81%75%75%
1.531%31%38%25%
2.513%19%25%6%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuparenseEste
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score369224

Penalties

MetricLuparenseEste
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLuparenseEste
Wins22
Draws24
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-13-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricLuparenseEste
Form57%43%
Att46%54%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Luparense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Marathonbet
Away2.57 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luparense = 1.12 (league 1.28), Este = 0.98 (league 1.12)

Este
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 12.2% 12.0% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.4% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 31.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1