Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.10)
0.18 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.6% | 34.0% | 6.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
30.5%
0 - 0
28.1%
2 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Naval 1893 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 28.1% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.5% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 73% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 88% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 67% | 83% | 75% | 83% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 17% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Form: Vitória de Sernache: WWWWWWDLWWDW • Naval 1893: WLLWWWWDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitória de Sernache | Naval 1893 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | 92% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 8% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 33% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 3-5 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitória de Sernache | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Vitória de Sernache or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vitória de Sernache = 1.08 (league 1.10), Naval 1893 = 0.18 (league 1.08)
| Naval 1893 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitória de Sernache | 0 | 28.1% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.5% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 6.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1