Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio da Torrinha
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.32)
0.76 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.0% | 36.0% | 31.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.2%
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
| O Elvas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moncarapachense | 0 | 21.2% | 16.0% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moncarapachense | O Elvas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 0% | 77% |
| Defense | 77% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moncarapachense | O Elvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
Form: Moncarapachense: LDWDDDWLLDDL • O Elvas: WWLLDLDLLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Moncarapachense | O Elvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moncarapachense | O Elvas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 42% | 67% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 8% | 50% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moncarapachense | O Elvas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moncarapachense | O Elvas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moncarapachense | O Elvas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moncarapachense | O Elvas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Moncarapachense or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moncarapachense = 0.79 (league 1.32), O Elvas = 0.76 (league 1.20)
| O Elvas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moncarapachense | 0 | 21.2% | 16.0% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 31.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1