Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo Sintético Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.31)
0.59 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.7% | 17.3% | 8.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.9%
1 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Oriental Lisboa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Serpa | 0 | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.8% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Serpa | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 29% | 50% |
| Defense | 57% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Serpa | Oriental Lisboa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 67% | 17% | 42% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Draws | 17% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 25% | 17% | 67% | 42% |
Form: FC Serpa: LWWDWDWDDWLL • Oriental Lisboa: WDDLWWDLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | FC Serpa | Oriental Lisboa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Serpa | Oriental Lisboa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 58% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 42% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 17% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Serpa | Oriental Lisboa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Serpa | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Serpa | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 6-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Serpa | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.8% |
Advice: Double chance : FC Serpa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FC Serpa = 2.18 (league 1.31), Oriental Lisboa = 0.59 (league 1.19)
| Oriental Lisboa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Serpa | 0 | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.8% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.7% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 8.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1