La Liga — Spain
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio de la Ceramica
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.45) 1.15 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.7% 12.3% 9.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
7.4%
3 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.9% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.4% 7.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillarrealBarcelona
Played55
Form100%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense67%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.617 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villarreal Barcelona
HATHAT
Played87159817
Wins88%57%73%100%63%82%
Draws13%14%13%0%13%6%
Loses0%29%13%0%25%12%

Form: Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWWWWWW • Barcelona: WWDWWWWLWLWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Villarreal Barcelona
HATHAT
GF total201131282149
GF avg2.51.62.13.12.62.9
GA total491351520
GA avg0.51.30.90.61.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillarrealBarcelona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%53%100%71%
1.573%27%82%29%
2.520%7%65%12%
3.513%0%24%6%
4.57%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillarrealBarcelona
HATHAT
Clean sheets527415
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricVillarrealBarcelona
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricVillarrealBarcelona
Wins34
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-26-00-3
Biggest losses—3-1—4-1
Goals For5365
Goals Against2314

Model comparison

MetricVillarrealBarcelona
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total52.0%48.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Villarreal or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.86 @ 1xBet
Draw4.92 @ Pinnacle
Away1.83 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.34 @ Betano
No3.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villarreal = 3.27 (league 1.45), Barcelona = 1.15 (league 1.13)

Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.9% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.4% 7.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 20 , Vtod9