Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:30 • MFA Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.64) 1.49 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 24.2% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Birzebbuga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melita 0 4.9% 7.3% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.5% 11.2% 8.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelitaBirzebbuga
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack47%84%
Defense63%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.816 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melita Birzebbuga
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%60%56%80%75%78%
Draws25%0%11%0%0%0%
Loses25%40%33%20%25%22%

Form: Melita: LWWWDLWWL • Birzebbuga: WLLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Melita Birzebbuga
HATHAT
GF total10122214822
GF avg2.52.42.42.82.02.4
GA total57126410
GA avg1.31.41.31.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelitaBirzebbuga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%78%78%
1.567%44%67%33%
2.556%0%44%0%
3.522%0%11%0%
4.511%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelitaBirzebbuga
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricMelitaBirzebbuga
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMelitaBirzebbuga
Wins31
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-58-20-3
Biggest losses1-22-10-11-0
Goals For4583
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricMelitaBirzebbuga
Form32%68%
Att36%64%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total38.8%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Birzebbuga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Superbet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.27 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Superbet
No3.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melita = 1.52 (league 1.64), Birzebbuga = 1.49 (league 1.75)

Birzebbuga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melita 0 4.9% 7.3% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.5% 11.2% 8.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1