Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.28) 0.56 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 24.5% 12.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 11.6% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 10.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeccoPergolettese
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack30%20%
Defense70%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecco Pergolettese
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%44%56%11%22%17%
Draws11%33%22%22%44%33%
Loses22%22%22%67%33%50%

Form: Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWWLWLLWD • Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Lecco Pergolettese
HATHAT
GF total158236814
GF avg1.70.91.30.70.90.8
GA total5611141125
GA avg0.60.70.61.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeccoPergolettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%56%44%83%
1.528%6%22%44%
2.517%0%11%11%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeccoPergolettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets448123
Failed to score3256410

Penalties

MetricLeccoPergolettese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLeccoPergolettese
Wins43
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-13-12-3
Biggest losses0-11-00-33-1
Goals For5233
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricLeccoPergolettese
Form78%22%
Att60%40%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total71.2%28.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lecco or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ Pinnacle
Away4.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecco = 1.59 (league 1.28), Pergolettese = 0.56 (league 0.97)

Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 11.6% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 10.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 12.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1